信江流域水沙情势演变及其对降雨和人类活动的响应
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S333

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Evolution of water and sediment regime and its response to precipitation and human activities in the Xinjiang River Basin
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    摘要:

    探究信江流域水沙情势及其驱动因素,可为信江流域水土流失防治和水沙资源合理开发利用提供科学依据。基于信江流域弋阳站降雨资料和梅港站1956—2019 年的径流和输沙量数据,采用多元统计分析方法,研究了流域水沙动态及其对降雨和人类活动的响应。结果表明:信江流域年降雨量和年径流量在1956—2019 年呈现轻微的递增趋势,但二者并无明显的拐点;年输沙量表现出显著的递减趋势,且在1999 年存在突变,突变年份后的减沙率达到了50%以上。1999 年后,实测的累积输沙量减少了3 230.91 万t,减少幅度为26.45%。此外,突变年份后,人类活动对信江流域输沙量减少的平均贡献率超过了100%,人类活动(水利工程建设和水土保持生态建设)对信江流域输沙量变化起着决定性的作用,是信江流域输沙量减少的主要原因,研究结果可为流域水沙资源合理开发利用提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Exploring the water and sediment regime and its driving factors in the Xinjiang River Basin can provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of soil erosion and the rational development and utilization of water and sediment resources in the basin. Based on the precipitation data of Yiyang Station in the Xinjiang River Basin and the runoff and sediment load data of Meigang Station from 1956 to 2019,this paper used multivariate statistical analysis methods to study the water and sediment dynamics in the basin and its response to rainfall and human activities. The results show that the annual precipitation and annual runoff in the Xinjiang River Basin showed a slight increasing trend from 1956 to 2019,but there was no obvious turning point. The annual sediment load shows a significant decreasing trend,and there was a sudden change in 1999. The sediment reduction rate after the sudden change reached more than 50%. After 1999,the measured cumulative sediment transport volume decreased by 32.309 1 million tons,with a reduction rate of 26.45%. Furthermore,after the mutation year,the average contribution rate of human activities to the reduction of sediment load in the Xinjiang River Basin exceeded 100%. Human activities (reservoir construction and large-scale water conservation project construction) played a decisive role in the change of sediment load and were the main reason for the reduction of sediment load in the Xinjiang River Basin. The research results can provide a reference for the rational development and utilization of water and sediment resources in the basin.

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危文广,罗志雄,谌祖安,周 波,余 强.信江流域水沙情势演变及其对降雨和人类活动的响应[J].江西水利科技,2025,(2):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-12
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