鄱阳湖环湖区降水量演变特征分析
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TV213.4;P333

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Analysis on the Evolution Characteristics of precipitation in the circum region of Poyang Lake
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    摘要:

    本文以鄱阳湖环湖区为研究对象,采用1956~2016的鄱阳湖环湖区雨量站降水资料,利用年内不均匀系数和完全调节系数、M-K趋势分析法、pettitt突变检验法以及Morlet小波分析法进行年内变化分析,年际的趋势、突变分析以及周期分析.结果表明:降水量年内季节差异性大,夏季多雨冬季少雨,主汛期占全年降雨的50%以上,年内分配极不均匀,但年际变化波动不大,因湖区不同区域的降水量此消彼长,同时非汛期和汛期降水量相互消涨,造成总体年内年际趋势、突变均不显著的现象;从周期上看,环湖区年降水量具有28年左右的主周期,具有4个多水期、3个少水期

    Abstract:

    This article takes the hydrologic network around Poyang Lake as the research object,and uses the data of precipitation from 1956 to 2016.It uses the linear regression,Mann-Kendall method,pettittt method,and Morlet wavelet analytical method to conduct annual and inter-annual trends,Mutation analysis and cycle analysis.The results show that the seasonal variation of precipitation during the year is large,with heavy rains in summer and less rain in winter.The main flood season accounts for more than 50% of the annual rainfall.The distribution during the year is extremely uneven,but the interannual variation is not large.Consumption increases,while precipitation in the nonflood season and the flood season mutually increases,causing the overall interannual trend and abrupt change in the year.From a cyclical point of view,the annual rainfall has a main cycle of about 28 years,with four periods of high water,three periods of low water.Under the 28-year scale, there will be more precipitation after 2016 and less precipitation after 2019.

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符 莎,成静清,刘章君.鄱阳湖环湖区降水量演变特征分析[J].江西水利科技,2021,(2):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-06-02
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