赣江上游潋水流域径流变化特征及其驱动力分析
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Characteristics of runoff variation and its driving forces of the Lianshui basin in the upper reach of Ganjiang river
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    摘要:

    基于赣江上游潋水流域东村水文站1980~2010年的逐月、逐年降水和径流数据,结合M-K趋势检验、累积距平法和双累积曲线法系统分析了潋水流域降水量和径流量的年内分布特征、年际变化趋势及其突变点以及流域径流量变化的主要驱动因子.结果表明:潋水流域多年平均降水量和径流量分别为1 604.8mm和6.53×108m3,降水量和径流量在年内均呈单峰型,主要集中在3~8月,分别占年降水总量和年径流总量的72.43%和75.93%;受人类活动的影响,虽然流域降水量在年际间呈不显著的波动增加趋势,但径流量呈不显著的波动减小趋势,且径流量在1984、1991和2002年发生突变;径流的年际变化受降水和人类活动的共同影响,降水的影响由59.05%下降到45.45%,人类活动的影响又由40.95%增加到了54.55%,表明水土流失治理初期流域径流变化主要受降水的影响,而随着植被的恢复,人类活动的影响越来越大.研究结果可为赣江上游流域水土流失的治理及水资源的合理利用提供理论和实践依据.

    Abstract:

    This study was based on the monthly and annual rainfall and runoff data of Dongcun hydrological station of the Lianshui basin in the upper reach of Ganjiang river from 1980 to 2010.The M-K trend test,cumulative anomaly method,and double mass curve method were applied to analyze the characteristics of annual distribution,inter-annual trend,and mutation points of rainfall and runoff,as well as the main driving factors attribute to the variation in runoff.The results showed that annual rainfall and runoff averaged at 1 604.8 mm and 6.53×108m3.There was a single peak in terms of the inter-annual variation of rainfall and runoff,and both of them distributed mainly between March and August within a year,which accounted for 72.43% and 75.93% of the annual rainfall and runoff.Influenced by human activities, despite the fact that an insignificant fluctuation increasing trend was found in annual rainfall, an insignificant fluctuation decreasing trend was detected in annual runoff in the Lianshui basin.In addition,the year of 1984,1991,and 2002 were considered as the mutation points of runoff.The inter-annual variation in runoff was affected by rainfall and human activities jointly.The effect of rainfall decreased from 59.05% to 45.45%,whereas the influence of human activities increased from 40.95% to 54.55%.It indicated that variation in watershed runoff was dominantly affected by rainfall at the preliminary stage of soil erosion control,whereas human activities played more and more significant roles gradually with the restoration of vegetation.These results can provide the oretical and practical basis to control soil erosion and the rational utilization of water resources in the upper reaches of Ganjiang river basin.

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党 伟.赣江上游潋水流域径流变化特征及其驱动力分析[J].江西水利科技,2021,(1):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-03-31
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